Posted on February 26th, 2008
So rather than make this all political with my opinions and such, I thought I would just throw out some good links on the upcoming Democratic primaries in Texas. As big a state as this is, it tends to stay under the national radar when it’s not having its vast ranch lands cleared by a vacationing George Bush. Yet when something does happen, the inevitable deluge of articles begins trying to reason out just how this state manages to exist when everything is so…big.
New York Times
The New York Times is first up with its article titled Pieces of Texas Turn Primary Into a Puzzle - an article that’s amusing enough simply for betraying Northerners’ utter confusion about the Lone Star State. The rest of the world seems to be coming to terms with what locals have known for quite some time: Texas is weird. Quote:
In a 1968 essay, Larry McMurtry wrote that Texas was divided but “not yet fragmented to a degree that would raise difficulties for the novelist.” Forty years later, you could sympathize with the writer, but you should feel really sorry for the presidential candidate, trying to make sense of a state as large as New England, New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio and North Carolina combined, and probably even more diverse.
Electoral-Vote.com
Next up is a great article from everyone’s favorite computer-scientist-turned-pundit election website, Electoral-Vote.com. In the news posting from today, Mr. Tanenbaum makes a few good points on the Texas primary system and how absolutely confusing it really is. He starts by writing that because of the way Texas divides its delegates for the voting portion of its election, it’s unlikely either candidate will pick up a substantial lead. He thinks we will see at most a 15 delegate spread.
Beyond his concerns about the delegate spread, he also thinks that very few people will actually attend the caucus portion of the election. I think his point about the caucuses is the most interesting, in large part because so few Texans understand their own primary system. This may have much to do with the fact that Texas has voted mostly Republican for so long that people have simply forgotten about how the Democratic primaries work. Most likely, however, only the die-hard voters will attend the caucuses on the evening of the 4th. For those who do attend, 90% of them will be attending for the first and almost certainly the last time for quite a few elections to come.
Houston Chronicle
Last up is an article from the Houston Chronicle titled In Democratic primary, expect a GOP turnout that confirms what a lot of people from around here already know but what for some reason seems to be a complete surprise to people elsewhere: Republicans really hate Hillary Clinton. What’s more, a good chunk of them may be voting for Obama in the Democratic primary simply because they absolutely don’t want Hillary to even possibly think about winning the election. How many Republicans? As many as 15 percent of them! That’s an awful lot of Republican voters, and a good chunk of them will vote for McCain in November.